June 14, 2024

German study confirms Children at VERY low risk of COVID-related severe disease and death


The following is a preprint published by medRxiv last November 30, 2021. It is a study conducted by researchers from Germany. The goal of the study is to assess the risk of COVID-19 to children and teenagers.

The study analyzed data from three sources: a national seroprevalence study (the SARS-CoV-2 KIDS study), the German statutory notification system, and a nationwide registry on children and adolescents hospitalized with either SARS-CoV-2 or Pediatric Inflammatory Multisystem Syndrome (PIMS-TS). Through this analysis, the researchers hoped to provide reliable estimates on children’s hospitalization, intensive care admission, and death due to COVID-19 and PIMS-TS.

Here are some of the most important results of this study:

  • Case fatality rate (CFR) is 0.09 per 10,000 children. Of the 14 pediatric fatalities in Germany as of May 2021, 5 (or 38%) were already in palliative care due to an underlying disease. Among children without comorbidities, CFR is 0.03 per 10,000 children. No deaths are reported in children aged 5 years and below.
  • As of May 2021, the cumulative rate of hospitalization associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection among children is 35.9 per 10,000 children.
  • Of those those hospitalized for COVID, only 6.5 per 10,000 children required therapeutic intervention. Only 1.7 per 10,000 children were admitted to the ICU. Limiting the analysis to children without comorbidities, therapy-requiring COVID-19 and ICU admission due to COVID-19 decreased to 5.1 and 0.8 per 10,000 children.
  • The cumulative risk for PIMS-TS is 2.5 per 10,000 children and 1.3 per 10,000 children for ICU admission. PIMS-TS seem to affect children without comorbidities at a rate of 2.9 per 10,000 children.
  • Primarily healthy children aged 5 to 11 years have lowest risk of ICU admission at rate of 0.2/10,000 children.
  • There are effective treatment options for PIMS-TS

Editor’s Note: Take note of how this study utilized “per 10,000 children” in discussing the COVID-related rates for children instead of the usual “per million”. If they used the per million measure, it would become apparent that the impact of COVID on children is VERY low.

For example, the general CFR of 0.09 per 10,000 children would translate to 0.0009 per million children – which is really ZERO in the real-world sense. The number of healthy children dying due to COVID is even lower at 0.03 per 10,000 (or 0.0003 per million children). This is comparable to the infection fatality rate computed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention [Read CDC’s new COVID-19 planning document shows death rate much lower than WHO estimates].

Now consider this: how many healthy children are experiencing severe and permanent side effects following COVID vaccination? [Also see One in 9 Children Suffered Severe Adverse Reaction from the COVID Vaccine, Expert Asks FDA: Why are kids “Dropping like Flies” after COVID Vaccine?, COVID Vaccines Would Kill 117 Children Aged Five to 11-Year-Olds in Order to Save One Child Dying from COVID, Expert: Costs of COVID Vaccines Outweigh Benefits, French Doctors Caution Against Vaccinating Healthy Children].

This study is significant because Germany is Europe’s largest country and has one of the most robust pharmacovigilance systems in the world. Its population is more than 80 million, including about 10 million school-age children and adolescents. Its results are authoritative and would typically be a basis of policies in the entire EU.

Take note that, unlike other countries, Germany has made it a policy to inject only those children with increased risk for COVID [read German panel issues limited approval for COVID-19 shots for children and adolescents]. The reason for this is simple: ALL COVID vaccines are experimental and there as such, there is no long-term guarantee for safety. Moreover, there is no proof that the benefits of these experimental COVID vaccines outweigh their risks.

We add this article on this website to reassure parents that there is no risk in keeping their children unvaccinated. Even if they contract rare instances of symptomatic COVID, there are many viable options for treatment [see Philippine Doctors Release Home Care Guide for COVID and Other Respiratory Illnesses and A Guide to Home-Based COVID Treatment].

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