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How extensive is the pandemic? Is it really that deadly? Lessons learned

Why you haven’t caught COVID-19 yet

Update 5/30/2020: We just checked the video today and found that it has been taken down [In a previous press release, YouTube CEO said that any video that presents viewpoints that challenges WHO will be banned from the platform. This is not a new experience. To know more, read The Pandemic Of Censorship]. We have a transcript of the video for those who would like to read about Knott’s ideas.

The following video is an address given by Anne Marie Knott to the Olin Business School Town Hall held last May 13, 2020. In it, Knott offers a data-driven explanation on why most of us will not contract COVID.

Using the examples of the USS Roosevelt and the Diamond Princess, Knott shows us that the rate of reproduction of the disease (R0) is below 1, which means that the SARS-COV-2 is not even as infectious as we think [several articles on this site already shows that the coronavirus is not as deadly as we think. See article category Is It Really That Deadly?]  Knott also highlights the overestimates created by the Imperial College which became a basis for lockdowns in many parts of the world. Knott also says that global trends are showing that the virus is moving towards a path of extinction, and there is no evidence that there will ever be a second wave anywhere.

Knott also adds that even without interventions, at least 80% of us will not have COVID-19, and there is only less than 3% chance of anyone getting infected. She then proceeds to calculate the economic cost of the lockdown (for the US, the figure stands at $880 per person, per year), and asks whether that money is being utilized effectively.

Editor’s Note: This article is an integration of many of the insights we have been sharing in this website. By watching/reading Knott’s presentation, we hope that you will find the courage to speak up, not only against lockdowns, but also against the indiscretionary use of government funds.

While the threat of COVID-19 is decreasing for most of us, there are real-world problems that we must now face as our cities begin to reopen. People are hungry. Many are unemployed. [See NEDA: Societal Impacts Of Lockdown In RP]. Our public health care system is still in dire need of upgrades. A huge number of Filipinos still live in extreme poverty. We must urge our government to address these as soon as possible, before another calamity strikes.

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